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ACC Bowl Projections Roundup, Week of Oct. 9: Jinx!

I want none of you to be happy, so let’s run bowl projections on a blog about a team with only four wins!

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Penn State v Pittsburgh Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

With four wins and three winnable games remaining, Pitt is considered likely to go bowling by all eleven projections I looked at - and is being given pretty favorable spots, to boot. Ten of the eleven projections put Pitt in the ACC’s higher-payout bowls, which would be a considerable step up from the likes of most recent seasons. Some even have them in the TaxSlayer (Gator) Bowl!

(However, me writing this article now also ensures that Pitt will go 1-5 the rest of the season and miss eligibility altogether. Whoops.)

Notre Dame is eligible for the ACC's bowl tie-ins and is thus included here. I've included bowl payouts (source) as a metric of the prestige of the bowl, to remind us all of the inextricable link between commerce and nominally "amateur" athletics, and because the gift suites are probably better at the nicer bowls. Bowl payouts are not included for the playoff games and selection committee bowls because they are still to be determined. I’ve included “last Pitt visit” for additional selection context.

Projections Used

College Football Playoff
December 31st/Atlanta or Glendale, AZ
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Clemson vs. Michigan (SBN, ESPN-2)
  • Clemson vs. Ohio State (ESPN-1, USA, SI, CBS, CFN, SN, 247, CSM, Ath)

Cotton Bowl
January 2nd/Arlington, TX
Last Pitt Visit: 1983

  • Louisville vs. Boise State (CSM)

Orange Bowl
December 30th/Miami
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Florida State vs. Tennessee (CSM)
  • Louisville vs. Texas A&M (USA)
  • Louisville vs. Tennessee (SBN, ESPN-2, SI, SN, Ath)
  • Louisville vs. Wisconsin (ESPN-1, CBS, CFN, 247)

Citrus Bowl
December 31st/Orlando/$4,250,000
Last Pitt Visit: 1978

  • Miami vs. Florida (CFN)
  • UNC vs. Ole Miss (247)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Ole Miss (CBS)

TaxSlayer Bowl
December 31st/Jacksonville/$2,750,000
Last Pitt Visit: 1980

  • Florida State vs. Arkansas (CBS, 247)
  • Florida State vs. Georgia (SBN, USA)
  • Florida State vs. LSU (Ath)
  • Miami vs. Arkansas (SI)
  • Miami vs. Florida (ESPN-2)
  • Notre Dame vs. Florida (CSM)
  • Pitt vs. Arkansas (CFN)
  • Pitt vs. Ole Miss (ESPN-1)
  • UNC vs. Indiana (SN)

Music City Bowl
December 30th/Nashville/$2,750,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Pitt vs. Auburn (SN)

Russell Athletic Bowl
December 28th/Orlando/$2,275,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2001

  • Florida State vs. TCU (ESPN-2, SI)
  • Miami vs. Oklahoma State (247)
  • Miami vs. TCU (CBS)
  • Miami vs. West Virginia (SBN, Ath)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Oklahoma State (CFN, CSM)
  • Virginia Tech vs. TCU (USA, SN)
  • Virginia Tech vs. West Virginia (ESPN-1)

Sun Bowl
December 30th/El Paso, TX/$2,150,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2008

  • Florida State vs. Colorado (CFN)
  • Miami vs. USC (USA, CSM)
  • NC State vs. Colorado (SN)
  • Pitt vs. Colorado (ESPN-2)
  • Pitt vs. Stanford (247)
  • Pitt vs. UCLA (SBN, SI)
  • UNC vs. Arizona State (CBS)
  • UNC vs. UCLA (ESPN-1, Ath)

Pinstripe Bowl
December 28th/Bronx, NY/$2,000,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Florida State vs. Michigan State (SN)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Iowa (247)
  • NC State vs. Iowa (CFN)
  • NC State vs. Minnesota (ESPN-1)
  • Pitt vs. Maryland (Ath)
  • Pitt vs. Michigan State (USA)
  • Pitt vs. Minnesota (CBS)
  • UNC vs. Iowa (CSM)
  • UNC vs. Maryland (SBN)
  • UNC vs. Minnesota (SI)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Maryland (ESPN-2)

Belk Bowl
December 29th/Charlotte/$1,700,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2009

  • Florida State vs. Arkansas (ESPN-1)
  • Miami vs. Georgia (SN)
  • Pitt vs. South Carolina (CSM)
  • UNC vs. Arkansas (USA)
  • UNC vs. Auburn (ESPN-2, CFN)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Arkansas (Ath)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Auburn (SI)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Georgia (247)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Missouri (SBN)
  • Wake Forest vs. LSU (CBS)

Independence Bowl
December 26th/Shreveport, LA/$1,200,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Boston College vs. Western Kentucky (SN)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati (SI)
  • NC State vs. Arkansas State (CBS)
  • NC State vs. Missouri (CSM)
  • Notre Dame vs. Kansas State (Ath)
  • Syracuse vs. Northwestern (SBN)
  • Wake Forest vs. Cal (USA)
  • Wake Forest vs. Michigan State (ESPN-2)
  • Wake Forest vs. South Carolina ESPN-1)

Quick Lane Bowl
December 26th/Detroit/$1,200,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never - the Quick Lane Bowl is not the Little Caesars Bowl

  • Boston College vs. Maryland (CBS)
  • Duke vs. Michigan State (ESPN-1)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Indiana (ESPN-2)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Minnesota (SN)
  • NC State vs. Indiana (Ath)
  • NC State vs. Maryland (SI, 247)
  • Notre Dame vs. Indiana (USA)

Military Bowl
December 27th/Annapolis, MD/$1,000,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2015

  • Georgia Tech vs. Memphis (CBS, CSM)
  • Miami vs. Temple (ESPN-1)
  • NC State vs. Memphis (USA)
  • NC State vs. Temple (ESPN-2)
  • Wake Forest vs. East Carolina (247)
  • Wake Forest vs. Memphis (SN)
  • Wake Forest vs. Temple (Ath)
  • Wake Forest vs. USF (SBN)

St. Petersburg Bowl
December 26th/St. Petersburg, FL/$537,500
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Duke vs. USF (SN)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati (SBN)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Houston (CFN)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Memphis (Ah)
  • Georgia Tech vs. South Florida (ESPN-1, USA)
  • Wake Forest vs. Cincinnati (CSM)
  • Wake Forest vs. USF (SI)

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