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ACC Bowl Projections, Week of Oct. 29

Despite the sudden fanbase optimism, Pitt is still on the outs in the latest round of bowl-game projections.

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NCAA Football: Pittsburgh at Duke Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

You were asked! You voted! And according to the experts, 42% of you are wrong!

Since the last time I did this, Pitt’s situation has become somewhat less dire, moving from the bottom of the pack in the ACC to the lower middle. But the projected in/out divisions in the conference have gotten more clear, and with Pitt basically having to swing a top-fifteen upset to go bowling this year, most projections don’t see it happening. This puts Pitt in the same camp as UNC (which is already ineligible), Florida State (which is in desperation mode), and Duke (which has an easy enough remaining slate, but hasn’t won a game since mid-September). Two teams are somewhat controversial: Virginia, which needs to win one of four against Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, and Virginia Tech to go bowling; and Syracuse, which needs two wins between FSU, Wake Forest, Louisville, and Boston College. This, of course, is before we start playing around with APR rankings, which, stop.

From eight projections:

Team Record In
Clemson 7-1 8
Virginia Tech 7-1 8
Notre Dame 7-1 8
Miami 7-0 8
NC State 6-2 8
Boston College 5-4 8
Louisville 5-4 8
Wake Forest 5-3 8
Georgia Tech 4-3 8
Syracuse 4-4 6
Virginia 5-3 5
Duke 4-5 3
Pittsburgh 4-5 0
Florida State 2-5 0
North Carolina 1-8 0

Notre Dame is eligible for the ACC's bowl tie-ins and is thus included here. I've included bowl payouts (source) as a metric of the prestige of the bowl, to remind us all of the inextricable link between commerce and nominally "amateur" athletics, and because the gift suites are probably better at the nicer bowls. Bowl payouts are not included for the playoff games and selection committee bowls because they are still to be determined. I’ve included “last Pitt visit” for additional selection context. Some of these bowl projections were made before the initial College Football Playoff rankings were released, and some were published after.

Projections Used

College Football Playoff (Rose or Sugar Bowl)
January 1st, 2018/Pasadena, CA or New Orleans/Playoff Revenue Pool
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Clemson vs. Alabama (SBN, USA)
  • Clemson vs. Georgia (ESPN-2)
  • Clemson vs. Notre Dame (OS)
  • Clemson vs. Ohio State (CBS)
  • Clemson vs. Oklahoma (SI)
  • Notre Dame vs. Alabama (SN, ESPN-2)
  • Notre Dame vs. Georgia (ESPN-1)

Orange Bowl
December 30th/Miami/Playoff Revenue Pool
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Clemson vs. Ohio State (ESPN-1)
  • Clemson vs. Penn State (SN)
  • Miami vs. Georgia (CBS)
  • Miami vs. Ohio State (ESPN-2)
  • Miami vs. Wisconsin (OS)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame (SBN, USA)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State (SI)

Cotton Bowl
December 29th/Arlington, TX/Playoff Revenue Pool
Last Pitt Visit: 1983

  • Miami vs. Penn State (ESPN-1)
  • Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State (CBS)
  • Notre Dame vs. TCU (SI)

Citrus Bowl
January 1st, 2018/Orlando/$8,883,996
Last Pitt Visit: 1978

  • Miami vs. Auburn (SN, SI)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Auburn (ESPN-1, ESPN-2, OS)

Camping World Bowl
December 28th/Orlando/$5,600,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2001

  • Miami vs. Texas (SBN)
  • NC State vs. Iowa State (ESPN-1, ESPN-2, SI)
  • NC State vs. Oklahoma State (USA, OS)
  • Syracuse vs. TCU (SN)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Iowa State (CBS)

Music City Bowl
December 29th/Nashville/$5,575,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Georgia Tech vs. Kentucky (ESPN-1)
  • Louisville vs. South Carolina (SI)
  • Miami vs. Mississippi State (USA)
  • NC State vs. Kentucky (SN)

Belk Bowl
December 29th/Charlotte/$4,560,060
Last Pitt Visit: 2009

  • Georgia Tech vs. Kentucky (ESPN-2)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Texas A&M (CBS)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt (SBN)
  • Wake Forest vs. Florida (SN, SI)
  • Wake Forest vs. Kentucky (OS)
  • Wake Forest vs. South Carolina (ESPN-1)
  • Wake Forest vs. Tennessee (USA)

Pinstripe Bowl
December 27th/Bronx, NY/$4,100,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2016

  • Boston College vs. Michigan State (ESPN-1)
  • Boston College vs. Minnesota (ESPN-2, CBS)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Iowa (OS)
  • Louisville vs. Minnesota (SN)
  • Syracuse vs. Maryland (SI)
  • Syracuse vs. Nebraska (SBN, USA)

TaxSlayer Bowl
December 30th/Jacksonville/$3,383,760
Last Pitt Visit: 1980

  • Louisville vs. South Carolina (SBN)
  • Louisville vs. Texas A&M (OS)
  • NC State vs. Mississippi State (CBS)
  • Wake Forest vs. Tennessee (ESPN-2)

Sun Bowl
December 29th/El Paso, TX/$3,220,744
Last Pitt Visit: 2008

  • Georgia Tech vs. Washington State (SI)
  • Louisville vs. Arizona (ESPN-2)
  • Louisville vs. Arizona State (USA)
  • Louisville vs. Stanford (CBS)
  • Louisville vs. Washington State (ESPN-1)
  • NC State vs. Utah (SBN)
  • Virginia vs. Washington State (OS)
  • Virginia Tech vs. Arizona (SN)

Military Bowl
December 28th/Annapolis, MD/$2,200,000
Last Pitt Visit: 2015

  • Boston College vs. Navy (OS, SI)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Navy (SN, USA)
  • Virginia vs. Houston (ESPN-1)
  • Virginia vs. Navy (ESPN-2)
  • Wake Forest vs. Navy (SBN, CBS)

Independence Bowl
December 27th/Shreveport, LA/$1,466,200
Last Pitt Visit: Never

  • Boston College vs. Colorado (USA)
  • Duke vs. UAB (SBN)
  • Duke vs. FAU (CBS)
  • Syracuse vs. Western Kentucky (ESPN-1)
  • Virginia vs. Colorado (SN)
  • Virginia vs. FIU (SI)

Quick Lane Bowl
December 26th/Detroit/$1,450,000
Last Pitt Visit: Never - the Quick Lane Bowl is not the Little Caesars Bowl

  • Boston College vs. Eastern Michigan (SBN)
  • Boston College vs. Nebraska (SN)
  • Duke vs. Minnesota (SI)
  • Syracuse vs. Western Michigan (ESPN-2)

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